Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.