Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
