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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
Toronto FC

Chicago Fire
2 - 0
Toronto

Duran (4', 16')
Mueller (45+1'), Gutierrez (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Neill (34'), MacNaughton (37'), Criscito (65'), Nelson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Toronto

Goals are to be expected on Thursday as this fixture has seen both teams score in 16 of the last 18 meetings. Toronto have a far superior record against Chicago and although they are conceding goals for fun so far this season, we feel that they have the firepower in attack to outscore their opponents and claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawToronto
54.64% (0.384 0.38) 24.12% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 21.25% (-0.298 -0.3)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02)50.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)72.66% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.152 0.15)18.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (0.261 0.26)49.68% (-0.265 -0.27)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (-0.286 -0.29)38.5% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (-0.275 -0.27)75.25% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 54.63%
    Toronto 21.25%
    Draw 24.11%
Chicago FireDrawToronto
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.71% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Toronto

Chicago Fire
26.9%
Draw
15.4%
Toronto
57.7%
26
Head to Head
May 29, 2022 12am
Toronto
3-2
Chicago Fire
Kerr (13'), Pozuelo (71' pen., 78')
Pozuelo (31'), Westberg (87'), Priso-Mbongue (88')
Teran (52'), Przybylko (66')
Przybylko (62'), Shaqiri (75'), Teran (78')
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Toronto
3-1
Chicago Fire
Delgado (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Soteldo (70')
Soteldo (9'), Laryea (89')
Beric (16')
Offor (87')
Jul 25, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
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