Major League Soccer

Apr 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
2 - 1
Nashville

Parks (11'), Chanot (25')
Ilencic (45+4'), Jasson (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: New York City FC 1-1 Nashville SC

The two sides are separated by just two points, having both made inconsistent starts to the MLS season, and a draw is therefore the most likely result on Saturday evening. However, if either team manages to come away with the three points, it will probably be the hosts, having gone undefeated at the Yankee Stadium so far this season.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Nashville SC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Nashville SC
51.96% ( 0)	25.17% ( -0)	22.87% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.07% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78% (

53.22% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.22% (

74.78% (

-0)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

20.49% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03% (

52.96% (

-0)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.71% (

38.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.95% (

75.05% (

-0)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 51.95%

Nashville SC 22.87%

Draw 25.16%

New York City FC	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 9.86% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.46% 3-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 51.95%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.53% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.55% Total : 22.87%