We said: New York City FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union
There is a reason why these sides both made it to the Eastern Conference Final a year ago, as they are both intelligent and talented, with plenty of quality on defence and in the attack.
The Pigeons are much more potent in the final third, but the Union are as poised and structurally sound defensively as any unit in MLS, and they should be more than capable of limiting the opportunities of New York.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.