Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for DC United had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
68.58% ( 0.34) | 19.01% ( 0.08) | 12.41% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 47.59% ( -1.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.56% ( -1.41) | 44.44% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.19% ( -1.38) | 66.81% ( 1.39) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.12% ( -0.31) | 11.88% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.81% ( -0.67) | 37.19% ( 0.67) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.01% ( -1.58) | 45.99% ( 1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.29% ( -1.26) | 81.71% ( 1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.33% Total : 68.57% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.01% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |