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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Park
Philadelphia Union

Chicago Fire
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Haile-Selassie (19'), Harriel (47' og.)
Herbers (66'), Gimenez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gazdag (62' pen.), Carranza (64')
Curtin (0'), Gazdag (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 Philadelphia Union

 Philadelphia have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late, but Chicago's home record suggests that Sunday's contest is far from a foregone conclusion. We are backing the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.28% (1.758 1.76) 27.07% (-0.286 -0.29) 29.65% (-1.466 -1.47)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.205 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44% (0.565 0.56)56% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91% (0.459 0.46)77.09% (-0.453 -0.45)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (1.182 1.18)25.65% (-1.178 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (1.58 1.58)60.56% (-1.576 -1.58)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.783 -0.78)34.07% (0.786 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.852 -0.85)70.76% (0.85599999999999 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 43.28%
    Philadelphia Union 29.65%
    Draw 27.07%
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.207 0.21)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.36 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.222 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.279 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.075 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.117 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 43.28%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.414 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.65%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia

Chicago Fire
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Philadelphia Union
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-0
Chicago Fire
Torres (90')
Andres Martinez (45+2'), Elliott (60'), Bedoya (74'), Torres (90+3'), Sullivan (90+6')

Teran (12'), Kamara (38'), Navarro (42'), Herbers (45+2')
Herbers (50'), Kamara (90+3')
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
Chicago Fire
Gazdag (16'), Elliott (37'), Carranza (53'), Burke (82')
Bedoya (28'), Burke (85'), Carranza (86'), Mbaizo (90+1')
Mueller (49')
Pineda (3'), Shaqiri (70'), Navarro (82')
Jun 30, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-0
Philadelphia
Navarro (68')
Teran (51')

Andres Martinez (29'), Bedoya (35'), Wagner (77'), Gazdag (83')
Andres Martinez (72')
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
Jun 27, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Philadelphia
Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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