Major League Soccer

Sep 19, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
4 - 2
LA Galaxy

Rodriguez (18'), Evander (39', 51'), Mora (80')
Zuparic (13'), Crepeau (45'), Ayala (52')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pec (45+3'), Paintsil (59')
Brugman (45+2'), Yoshida (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Portland
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Portland Timbers 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy, despite their impressive season and top position in the Western Conference, have shown some vulnerability away from home whilst Portland Timbers, motivated by the need to secure a playoff spot and buoyed by their strong home form, will be eager to exploit LA Galaxy's recent away inconsistencies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
45.93% ( 0.03)	22.29% ( -0.01)	31.78% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 66.37% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.17% (

33.84% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.32% (

0.01)

55.68% (

-0.01)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66% (

0.01)

15.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.9% (

0.02)

44.1% (

-0.03)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4% (

-0.02)

21.6% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.31% (

-0.02)

54.7% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 45.93%

Los Angeles Galaxy 31.78%

Draw 22.29%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 45.93%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.18% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 31.78%