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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Seattle Sounders

Portland
1 - 0
Seattle

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 4-4 St Louis City
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-3 Seattle
Saturday, August 24 at 11.45pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 Seattle Sounders

While Portland have been prolific in front of goal lately, the absence of Rodriguez and Mora are significant, leaving them needing to find goals from other avenues. However, given their recent home form and Seattle's short turnaround, we feel that the hosts will be able to claim at least a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSeattle Sounders
48.16% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 22.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 29.19% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.42% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.95% (-0.172 -0.17)37.05% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.75% (-0.189 -0.19)59.25% (0.189 0.19)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)15.76% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.12% (-0.154 -0.15)44.88% (0.156 0.16)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)24.72% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (-0.109 -0.11)59.26% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 48.16%
    Seattle Sounders 29.2%
    Draw 22.65%
Portland TimbersDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 4% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: Portland vs Seattle

Portland Timbers
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Seattle Sounders
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 9.45pm
Portland
1-2
Seattle
Mora (15')
Zuparic (66')
Roldan (19'), Ruidiaz (50')
Tolo (55')
Sep 3, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
2-2
Portland
Ruidiaz (9'), Chu (30')
Chu (30'), Paulo (76')
Chu (53')
Asprilla (67'), Evander (70')
Asprilla (68'), Blanco (81'), Zuparic (90+4')
Jun 3, 2023 9.30pm
Seattle
0-0
Portland
Ragen (90+2')
Chara (7'), Bravo (70'), Paredes (79')
Apr 16, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
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