Portland4 - 1Nashville
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, July 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Thursday, July 4 at 1.45am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: Portland Timbers 2-0 Nashville SC
The Timbers are not a solid defensive unit by any stretch, but Nashville do not have a quality chance creator to trouble them, so we project that the aggressive approach of Portland will eventually lead to goals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Nashville SC |
51.6% ( -0.05) | 23.74% ( -0.06) | 24.66% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
