Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.