Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match.