Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
We said: Real Salt Lake 1-2 Los Angeles FC
Salt Lake will have taken plenty of confidence from their impressive fightback against Portland in the cup in midweek, but we still expect the visitors to have too much quality for them on Sunday.
Los Angeles will be keen to return to winning ways after looking a little shakier in their most recent matches, with Cherundolo's side firmly expected to make it to the business end of the MLS season once again later this calendar year.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 38.25% . A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.15%) . The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result Real Salt Lake Draw Los Angeles FC 38.25% ( 0.12) 25.32% ( -0.01) 36.43% ( -0.11)
Both teams to score 56.6% ( 0.02)
52.86% ( 0.02) 47.14% ( -0.02)
30.62% ( 0.02) 69.37% ( -0.02)
75.73% ( 0.07) 24.27% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.36% ( 0.1) 58.63% ( -0.1)
74.73% ( -0.05) 25.26% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.98% ( -0.07) 60.02% ( 0.07)
Real Salt Lake 38.25%
Los Angeles FC 36.43%
Draw 25.31%
Real Salt Lake Draw Los Angeles FC 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.25% 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.43%
rhs 2.0
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