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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Salt Lake
3 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Luna (2', 53'), Savarino (81')
Brody (83'), Vera (84'), Julio (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Amaya (80')
Tolkin (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 2-2 Salt Lake
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 2-0 New York Red Bulls

With Real Salt Lake in excellent form, it is hard to back against them here, especially given New York's troubles on the road. Salt Lake have won four of their last six matches, so we expect them to keep their unbeaten run alive here and take all three points.

How to watch

You can watch Real Salt Lake vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawNew York Red Bulls
54.08% (-0.345 -0.34) 24.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.17% (0.344 0.34)
Both teams to score 48.18% (0.476 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.69% (0.383 0.38)53.31% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.14% (0.324 0.32)74.86% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)19.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (0.022999999999996 0.02)51.64% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (0.578 0.58)40.03% (-0.582 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (0.527 0.53)76.68% (-0.53 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 54.08%
    New York Red Bulls 21.17%
    Draw 24.75%
Real Salt LakeDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.8% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 54.08%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.37% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs NY Red Bulls

Real Salt Lake
100%
Draw
0.0%
New York Red Bulls
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 3
Salt Lake
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Kreilach (90+1')
Silva (54'), Martinez (80')
Casseres Jr (13')
Seagrist (35'), Duncan (73')
Jun 2, 2019 12am
Gameweek 18
NY Red Bulls
4-0
Salt Lake
Silva (58' og.), Royer (59'), Murillo (64'), Fernandez (83')

Onuoha (15')
Mar 18, 2018 1am
Gameweek 4
Salt Lake
1-0
NY Red Bulls
Rusnak (4' pen.)
Kreilach (37'), Lennon (43'), Phillips (59'), Baird (88')
Mar 25, 2017 8pm
NY Red Bulls
0-0
Salt Lake
Lawrence (42')
Mulholland (57'), Silva (66'), Sunday (68'), Maund (70'), Velazco (78')
Jun 23, 2016 3am
Salt Lake
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Movsisyan (65'), Allen (87')
Morales (45'), Movsisyan (92')
Baah (7')
Sam (6'), Colin (8'), Davis (90')
Colin (0')
rhs 2.0
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