Salt Lake

3 - 1

NY Red Bulls

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.