We said: Columbus Crew 2-0 New York Red Bulls
Of course, Columbus Crew are the leading scorers in Major League Soccer, but New York Red Bulls possess the second-best defensive record in the league.
Given that Columbus have won four of their last five matches, we expect the hosts to claim all three points at Lower.com Field, but we are not likely to see a high-scoring victory.
How to watch
You can watch Columbus Crew vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV.
Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.