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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Apr 10, 2022 at 1am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Toronto FC

Salt Lake
2 - 2
Toronto

Meram (7'), Kreilach (43')
Ruiz (47'), Kreilach (58'), Herrera (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Thompson (9'), Nelson (79')
MacNaughton (36'), Osorio (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 5 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Salt Lake vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Toronto

Toronto have put together a nice run of late and are showing definite improvement, but playing in the altitude of Salt Lake City against a side who have done a great job of making in-game adjustments will be a lot to handle. The Reds have not won a game there since 2007, and we expect that streak will continue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawToronto
51.59%24.13%24.28%
Both teams to score 53.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28%47.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09%69.91%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.51%18.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.3%49.7%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03%33.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35%70.64%
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 51.59%
    Toronto 24.28%
    Draw 24.12%
Real Salt LakeDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.95%
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.78%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 24.28%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Toronto

Real Salt Lake
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Toronto
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Jun 28, 2020 1am
May 18, 2019 8pm
Salt Lake
3-0
Toronto
Kreilach (14'), Saucedo (28'), Savarino (60')
Besler (25'), Toia (82')

Morgan (44'), Pozuelo (53'), Altidore (66')
Pozuelo (61')
Mar 31, 2018 1am
Toronto
3-1
Salt Lake
Altidore (23' pen., 45'), Ricketts (90')
Altidore (35'), Giovinco (35'), Osorio (62'), Morgan (86')
Baird (82')
Beckerman (40'), Phillips (77')
Mar 4, 2017 9.30pm
Salt Lake
0-0
Toronto

Schuler (23'), Rimando (29'), Sunny (72')

Hagglund (45'), Beitashour (53'), Giovinco (82'), Altidore (90')
Aug 4, 2016 12am
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