We said: New York Red Bulls 1-1 Columbus Crew
Both teams thrive in transition and can adjust on the fly to what they are seeing from their opponents as a game transpires.
You can throw the Columbus road record of late out the window as this is a different team from the one we saw in 2021, so look for this to be a hard-fought match, with two teams who possess plenty of depth all over the pitch.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.