We said: New England Revolution 1-2 Columbus Crew
Both teams have suffered lengthy runs without a victory as of late, but they head into this match having brought those to an end.
That should bring confidence to them, and it will lead to a closely-fought game, yet the visitors should just be able to steal all three points due to their slightly stronger defensive qualities.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.