Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-0 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
24.76% ( -0.82) | 25.1% ( -0.02) | 50.14% ( 0.83) |
Both teams to score 51.3% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% ( -0.57) | 51.29% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% ( -0.5) | 73.12% ( 0.5) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.5% ( -1) | 35.5% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.73% ( -1.06) | 72.26% ( 1.06) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( 0.12) | 20.47% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% ( 0.19) | 52.94% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.76% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |