Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 57.46%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.51% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.