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Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Vancouver Whitecaps

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Vancouver

Ebobisse (68'), Akapo (77')
Yueill (58'), Espinoza (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schopf (17')
Veselinovic (36'), Cubas (41'), Martins (68'), Schopf (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, February 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 Vancouver Whitecaps

 Given the low expectations of a rebuilding Earthquakes team, San Jose should feel much more encouraged by their defeat than Vancouver. The Caps have been consistently poor away from home, winning a total of three matches or fewer in their previous four regular seasons, and as good as they are at creating chances, Vancouver have not shown the capability of closing down space against their opponents.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for San Jose Earthquakes.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawVancouver Whitecaps
51.16% (0.248 0.25) 23.02% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 25.82% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 59.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59% (0.125 0.13)41.4% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.2% (0.127 0.13)63.8% (-0.127 -0.13)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (0.134 0.13)16.3% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.14% (0.243 0.24)45.86% (-0.243 -0.24)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)29.32% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)65.29% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 51.16%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 25.82%
    Draw 23.01%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 51.16%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.01%
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 25.82%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Vancouver

San Jose Earthquakes
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Vancouver Whitecaps
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 2.30am
Earthquakes
2-0
Vancouver
Ebobisse (4'), Monteiro (34')

Cubas (31')
May 15, 2022 12am
Vancouver
3-3
Earthquakes
Cavallini (52'), Raposo (75'), Godoy (90+1')
Godoy (5'), Teibert (14'), Dajome (38')
Monteiro (62'), Ebobisse (73', 81')
Cardoso (27')
Oct 24, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
1-1
Vancouver
Kikanovic (60')
Thompson (45+1')
Gaspar (53')
Oct 3, 2021 3am
Vancouver
3-0
Earthquakes
White (26', 59', 73')
Owusu (19'), Jungwirth (57'), Brown (90+5')

Remedi (57'), Cardoso (79'), Salinas (90+2')
Aug 14, 2021 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-0
Vancouver

Lopez (43'), Lopez (72'), Cowell (90+6')

Dajome (88')
rhs 2.0
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