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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 2am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
Chicago Fire

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Kikanovic (47', 87')
Marie (63'), Kikanovic (73'), Lopez (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gutierrez (90+5')
Mueller (27'), Gimenez (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Chicago Fire

Having managed to put a crucial win on the board last time out, Chicago Fire will be keen to build a positive run, and they have a good opportunity to do so against the Western Conference's basement side. The two teams each have the ability to cause the other problems, and we just lean towards a second consecutive win for Hendrickson's side on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawChicago Fire
59.94% (-0.299 -0.3) 21.79% (0.183 0.18) 18.27% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.62% (-0.391 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (-0.627 -0.63)45.03% (0.623 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (-0.60400000000001 -0.6)67.38% (0.601 0.6)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.30499999999999 -0.3)14.61% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.28% (-0.58 -0.58)42.72% (0.577 0.58)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.63% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)38.37% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (-0.232 -0.23)75.13% (0.22800000000001 0.23)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 59.93%
    Chicago Fire 18.27%
    Draw 21.79%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.78% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 10.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 59.93%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.109 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.27%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Chicago Fire

San Jose Earthquakes
27.8%
Draw
33.3%
Chicago Fire
38.9%
18
Head to Head
May 18, 2019 8.30pm
Earthquakes
4-1
Chicago Fire
Wondolowski (21', 48', 74', 76')
Espinoza (54')
Katai (83')
Kappelhof (41'), Corrales (63'), Calvo (86'), Katai (95')
Jun 3, 2018 1.30am
Chicago Fire
2-1
Earthquakes
Gordon (29'), Katai (49')
Corrales (57')
Hoesen (74')
Alashe (45'), Ockford (61')
Sep 28, 2017 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-4
Chicago Fire
Wondolowski (87')
Jungwirth (35'), Godoy (39'), Yueill (67')
Mihailovic (14'), Solignac (40'), Nikolic (48', 65')
Alvarez (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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