Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 16 | -1 | 19 |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 16 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Toronto | 18 | -10 | 18 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 17 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | -12 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Chicago Fire |
59.94% ( -0.3) | 21.79% ( 0.18) | 18.27% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.96% ( -0.63) | 45.03% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.61% ( -0.6) | 67.38% ( 0.6) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% ( -0.3) | 14.61% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.28% ( -0.58) | 42.72% ( 0.58) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.63% ( -0.24) | 38.37% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.87% ( -0.23) | 75.13% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.93% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |