Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | New England Revolution | 16 | 1 | 23 |
5 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | -1 | 18 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 1 | 17 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Toronto | 15 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 15 | -6 | 14 |
10 | DC United | 14 | -8 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Chicago Fire |
42.94% ( 0.28) | 25.8% ( -0.13) | 31.26% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 53.68% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.65% ( 0.47) | 50.35% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.71% ( 0.41) | 72.29% ( -0.41) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( 0.34) | 23.31% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.74% ( 0.49) | 57.26% ( -0.49) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.99% ( 0.13) | 30.01% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.87% ( 0.15) | 66.13% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |