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Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2022 at 2.30am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
Vancouver Whitecaps

Earthquakes
2 - 0
Vancouver

Ebobisse (4'), Monteiro (34')
Monteiro (32'), Kikanovic (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cubas (31'), Gauld (43'), Blackmon (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

Last Six:
Last Game: Kansas 1-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, August 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps

Last Six:
Last Game: Vancouver 0-3 Nashville
Sunday, August 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

 Vancouver still have a lot of fight left in them, but they struggle away from home, losing five matches versus teams currently below the playoff line heading into this weekend, and it seems as though the weight of expectations have finally got the better of them. With the stakes not quite as high for the Quakes given their current standing, we anticipate they will play with a lot more poise on Sunday against a team that the Goonies have fared well against at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawVancouver Whitecaps
56.32% (1.152 1.15) 21.97% (-0.198 -0.2) 21.71% (-0.954 -0.95)
Both teams to score 57.74% (-0.651 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.01% (-0.247 -0.25)40.99% (0.249 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.61% (-0.253 -0.25)63.38% (0.254 0.25)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (0.28699999999999 0.29)14.41% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.67% (0.551 0.55)42.33% (-0.551 -0.55)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)32.54% (0.991 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-1.128 -1.13)69.07% (1.129 1.13)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 56.32%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 21.71%
    Draw 21.96%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.194 0.19)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 56.32%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 21.71%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Vancouver

San Jose Earthquakes
64.7%
Draw
11.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps
23.5%
17
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 12am
Vancouver
3-3
Earthquakes
Cavallini (52'), Raposo (75'), Godoy (90+1')
Godoy (5'), Teibert (14'), Dajome (38')
Monteiro (62'), Ebobisse (73', 81')
Cardoso (27')
Oct 24, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
1-1
Vancouver
Kikanovic (60')
Thompson (45+1')
Gaspar (53')
Oct 3, 2021 3am
Vancouver
3-0
Earthquakes
White (26', 59', 73')
Owusu (19'), Jungwirth (57'), Brown (90+5')

Remedi (57'), Cardoso (79'), Salinas (90+2')
Aug 14, 2021 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-0
Vancouver

Lopez (43'), Lopez (72'), Cowell (90+6')

Dajome (88')
Oct 25, 2020 2am
Vancouver
2-1
Earthquakes
Adnan (51'), Ricketts (57')
Teibert (90+1'), Owusu (90+3')
Fierro (24')
Lopez (82')
rhs 2.0
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