Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.