Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Toronto3 - 1Portland
Osorio (41'), Insigne (79'), Bernardeschi (85')
MacNaughton (14'), Mavinga (67'), Osorio (68'), Bernardeschi (87')
MacNaughton (14'), Mavinga (67'), Osorio (68'), Bernardeschi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
van Rankin (73')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Portland Timbers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nashville 3-4 Toronto
Sunday, August 7 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, August 7 at 1am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 24 | -3 | 30 |
| 7 | Toronto | 24 | -8 | 26 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | -10 | 25 |
Last Game: Portland 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | -2 | 34 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 2 | 32 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Portland Timbers |
47.21% ( 0.4) | 23.13% ( -0.1) | 29.66% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 61.98% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
