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Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Robertson Stadium
Minnesota United

Houston
1 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Picault (86')
Lundqvist (8'), Dorsey (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fragapane (45+2'), Hlongwane (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Houston
Monday, July 18 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Minnesota United

Last Six:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 4-0 Everton
Thursday, July 21 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Houston Dynamo 0-2 Minnesota United

 Buoyed by their win over the Earthquakes, Houston Dynamo will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to move into the playoffs places. However, they face the stern test of facing a Minnesota side who are unbeaten in six stinger games across all competitions. Looking at the difference in form and recent results between the sides, we are backing the Loons to pick up where they dropped off last time out and claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawMinnesota United
42.27% (-0.138 -0.14) 26.05% (0.035 0.04) 31.67% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.03% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.73% (-0.119 -0.12)51.26% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.9% (-0.103 -0.1)73.09% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.121 -0.12)24.04% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.172 -0.17)58.31% (0.167 0.17)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)30.19% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 42.27%
    Minnesota United 31.67%
    Draw 26.05%
Houston DynamoDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.69% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.67%

How you voted: Houston vs Minnesota Utd

Houston Dynamo
29.4%
Draw
0.0%
Minnesota United
70.6%
17
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-0
Houston
Lod (1'), Finlay (17')
Reynoso (40')

Quintero (41'), Junqua (72')
Aug 29, 2021 1.30am
Houston
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Carrasquilla (1')
Dorsey (61'), Hadebe (73'), Valentin (77')
Hunou (16', 73')
Aug 8, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-0
Houston
Lod (14'), Kallman (71')

Rodriguez (21'), Junqua (21'), Jones (62')
Oct 19, 2020 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-2
Houston
Finlay (11', 30')
Hayes (90+4')
Rodriguez (59'), Hansen (84')
Lundqvist (10')
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
Minnesota Utd
P-P
Houston
rhs 2.0
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