We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 Dallas
Houston have endured a stuttering season this year, but they certainly have the quality to turn it around.
While they may enjoy an upturn in form, it is unlikely to start this weekend, with Dallas expected to take three points against a flagging Houston outfit.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.