National League North | Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton2 - 2Darlington
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Darlington.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Alfreton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
59
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Darlington |
45.24% ( -0.13) | 25.12% | 29.64% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.85% ( 0.06) | 48.14% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.7% ( 0.06) | 70.3% ( -0.06) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( -0.03) | 21.3% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.76% ( -0.05) | 54.24% ( 0.05) |
Darlington Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.99% ( 0.13) | 30.01% ( -0.12) |