Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
