MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 08:25:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
3 - 0
Oxford City

Poleon (12', 50', 63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawOxford City
51.39% (0.244 0.24) 23.08% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 25.53% (-0.176 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.149 0.15)41.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (0.151 0.15)64.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.59% (0.143 0.14)16.41% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.94% (0.25700000000001 0.26)46.07% (-0.255 -0.25)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)29.83% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)65.92% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 51.39%
    Oxford City 25.53%
    Draw 23.08%
EbbsfleetDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 25.53%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford City
1-1
Ebbsfleet
Sanderson (47')
Bingham (35')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Ebbsfleet
3-1
Oxford City
Monlouis (17'), Romain (46', 56')
Iaciofano (71')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
May 18, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd26149340231751
2Boreham WoodBoreham Wood25147445192649
3Truro CityTruro City27147640241649
4Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne28131053326749
5Maidstone UnitedMaidstone26139443232048
6Dorking WanderersDorking27137755381746
7Worthing2513753731646
8Weston-super-MareWeston2712873931844
9Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels2610973230239
10Hampton & RichmondHampton25108736261038
11Farnborough TownFarnborough25114103536-137
12Chesham UnitedChesham2510693537-236
13Chelmsford CityChelmsford City259884035535
14Slough TownSlough269894339435
15AFC HornchurchHornchurch258892728-132
16Chippenham TownChippenham2695123234-232
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2694133448-1431
18Salisbury2578103234-229
19Bath City2685132331-829
20Welling UnitedWelling United2883172950-2127
21St Albans CitySt Albans City26310132541-1619
22Enfield Town2754182657-3119
23Aveley2645172847-1917
24Weymouth2629151738-2115


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