MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 00:38:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
3 - 0
Oxford City

Poleon (12', 50', 63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawOxford City
51.39% (0.244 0.24) 23.08% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 25.53% (-0.176 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.149 0.15)41.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (0.151 0.15)64.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.59% (0.143 0.14)16.41% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.94% (0.25700000000001 0.26)46.07% (-0.255 -0.25)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)29.83% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)65.92% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 51.39%
    Oxford City 25.53%
    Draw 23.08%
EbbsfleetDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 25.53%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford City
1-1
Ebbsfleet
Sanderson (47')
Bingham (35')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Ebbsfleet
3-1
Oxford City
Monlouis (17'), Romain (46', 56')
Iaciofano (71')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
May 18, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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