National League South | Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Ebbsfleet3 - 0Oxford City
Poleon (12', 50', 63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Oxford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oxford City |
51.39% ( 0.24) | 23.08% ( -0.07) | 25.53% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.65% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.06% ( 0.15) | 41.94% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.66% ( 0.15) | 64.34% ( -0.15) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( 0.14) | 16.41% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.94% ( 0.26) | 46.07% ( -0.25) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( -0.06) | 29.83% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.08% ( -0.07) | 65.92% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet 51.39%
Oxford City 25.53%
Draw 23.08%
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.53% |
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
May 18, 2021 7.45pm
May 2, 2021 11pm
Form Guide
