Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
33.2% ( -0.04) | 24.07% ( -0.01) | 42.73% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.37% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.04% ( 0.03) | 41.95% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.64% ( 0.03) | 64.35% ( -0.03) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.32% ( -0.01) | 24.67% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.79% ( -0.01) | 59.2% ( 0.02) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.15% ( 0.03) | 19.85% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.05% ( 0.06) | 51.94% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 42.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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