Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.