Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
24.65% ( 0.08) | 22.05% ( 0.04) | 53.3% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 61.36% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.05% ( -0.09) | 37.95% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.79% ( -0.09) | 60.21% ( 0.09) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% ( 0.02) | 28.37% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% ( 0.02) | 64.11% ( -0.02) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.66% ( -0.07) | 14.34% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.81% ( -0.13) | 42.19% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 24.65% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.26% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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