Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
46.19% ( -0.57) | 25.94% ( 0.45) | 27.87% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.34% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.5% ( -1.71) | 52.5% ( 1.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.83% ( -1.49) | 74.17% ( 1.5) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( -0.97) | 22.7% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.65% ( -1.47) | 56.36% ( 1.48) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.41% ( -0.8) | 33.59% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% ( -0.89) | 70.24% ( 0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.19% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
19 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
> National League Full Table |