Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
46.19% ( -0.57) | 25.94% ( 0.45) | 27.87% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.34% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.5% ( -1.71) | 52.5% ( 1.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.83% ( -1.49) | 74.17% ( 1.5) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( -0.97) | 22.7% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.65% ( -1.47) | 56.36% ( 1.48) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.41% ( -0.8) | 33.59% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% ( -0.89) | 70.24% ( 0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.19% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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