Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.