Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 53.28%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Rochdale |
53.28% ( -0.24) | 22.37% ( 0.02) | 24.35% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 59.83% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.19% ( 0.15) | 39.8% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.84% ( 0.16) | 62.16% ( -0.16) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85% ( -0.03) | 14.99% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.55% ( -0.05) | 43.44% ( 0.05) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% ( 0.26) | 29.62% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.34% ( 0.32) | 65.66% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Rochdale |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.28% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 24.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 31 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
22 | Fylde | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 18 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 9 |
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