Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.