Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.
Result | ||
Bromley | Draw | Altrincham |
44.03% ( -0.15) | 25.26% ( 0.07) | 30.7% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.72% ( -0.29) | 48.27% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.57% ( -0.27) | 70.42% ( 0.26) |
Bromley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( -0.19) | 21.9% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( -0.29) | 55.16% ( 0.28) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( -0.1) | 29.34% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% ( -0.12) | 65.32% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Bromley | Draw | Altrincham |
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 31 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
22 | Fylde | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 18 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |