Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 77.48%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Oxford City |
77.48% ( -0.33) | 13.27% ( 0.11) | 9.25% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.78% ( 0.24) | 25.22% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.8% ( 0.31) | 45.2% ( -0.31) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.73% ( -0) | 5.27% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.23% ( -0.01) | 20.77% ( 0.01) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.81% ( 0.63) | 38.19% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.04% ( 0.6) | 74.96% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Oxford City |
2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 3.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.75% 5-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.95% Total : 77.48% | 1-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 13.27% | 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 9.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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