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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 33
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Wealdstone

Altrincham
4 - 1
Wealdstone

Newby (36'), Wilson (47'), Banks (59'), Linney (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barker (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Altrincham and Wealdstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 2-3 Gateshead
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 2-1 Wealdstone

Given Altrincham's lack of consistency, Wealdstone will sense an opportunity to cause an upset in the North West. However, we are backing the home side to do what is necessary to collect three points and potentially move into the top six in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawWealdstone
50.23% (0.282 0.28) 22.18% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 27.59% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 63.85% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.05% (0.143 0.14)35.95% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.96% (0.154 0.15)58.04% (-0.151 -0.15)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (0.148 0.15)14.64% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23% (0.279 0.28)42.77% (-0.276 -0.28)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)25.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)59.94% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 50.23%
    Wealdstone 27.59%
    Draw 22.18%
AltrinchamDrawWealdstone
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 50.23%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.59%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Wealdstone

Altrincham
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Wealdstone
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Wealdstone
0-0
Altrincham
Barker (62')
Ross (80')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Wealdstone
4-0
Altrincham
Obiero (17', 29'), Andrews (47'), Dyer (90+5')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Altrincham
4-2
Wealdstone
Kosylo (8', 46'), Marriott (52'), Mooney (56')
Colclough (37'), White (58'), Ferguson (76')
Cooper (71'), Mullarkey (77' og.)
Tavares (53'), Elito (55'), Dyer (67')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Wealdstone
1-0
Altrincham
Elito (90+11' pen.)
Okimo (38'), Charles (74')

Kirby (66'), Kosylo (80'), Pringle (90+9')
Jackson (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green271510245212455
2York City26166451222954
3Barnet27166554302454
4Gateshead27146750351548
5Oldham AthleticOldham25128542281444
6AltrinchamAltrincham26118743311241
7Solihull MoorsSolihull27125104538741
8Rochdale23123834211339
9Halifax TownHalifax2510962924539
10Sutton UnitedSutton2710893836238
11Eastleigh2791173735238
12Yeovil TownYeovil28108103331238
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2691073231137
14Southend UnitedSouthend268992930-133
15Tamworth2596102941-1233
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
17Woking2779112838-1030
18Aldershot TownAldershot27611104046-629
19Braintree TownBraintree2776142638-1227
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2775153554-1926
21WealdstoneWealdstone25510103138-725
22Fylde2564153054-2422
23Boston UnitedBoston2537152143-2216
24Ebbsfleet2819182164-4312


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