Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Hartlepool United |
32.01% ( -1.64) | 25.26% ( -0.58) | 42.74% ( 2.22) |
Both teams to score 55.78% ( 1.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.25% ( 2.05) | 47.75% ( -2.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.06% ( 1.86) | 69.94% ( -1.86) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.78% ( -0.04) | 28.22% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.08% ( -0.05) | 63.92% ( 0.05) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% ( 2) | 22.29% ( -1.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.25% ( 2.91) | 55.75% ( -2.9) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.39) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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