Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.