Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Altrincham |
48.2% ( -0.61) | 23.51% ( 0.23) | 28.29% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 59.64% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.26% ( -0.82) | 41.74% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.86% ( -0.83) | 64.14% ( 0.84) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.48% ( -0.54) | 17.52% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.97% ( -0.96) | 48.03% ( 0.96) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% ( -0.16) | 27.69% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% ( -0.2) | 63.25% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Altrincham |
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.87% Total : 48.2% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 10 |
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