Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Torquay United |
39.14% ( -0.83) | 23.06% ( 0.05) | 37.79% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 65.11% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.84% ( -0.17) | 36.15% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.73% ( -0.19) | 58.27% ( 0.19) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81% ( -0.44) | 19% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.45% ( -0.73) | 50.55% ( 0.73) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.38% ( 0.3) | 19.62% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.43% ( 0.48) | 51.57% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Torquay United |
2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.52% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.31% Total : 37.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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