Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Torquay United |
39.14% ( -0.83) | 23.06% ( 0.05) | 37.79% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 65.11% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.84% ( -0.17) | 36.15% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.73% ( -0.19) | 58.27% ( 0.19) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81% ( -0.44) | 19% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.45% ( -0.73) | 50.55% ( 0.73) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.38% ( 0.3) | 19.62% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.43% ( 0.48) | 51.57% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Torquay United |
2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.52% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.31% Total : 37.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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