Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Solihull Moors |
34.34% ( 0.17) | 23.22% ( -0.04) | 42.44% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 63.91% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.52% ( 0.25) | 37.47% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.3% ( 0.27) | 59.7% ( -0.27) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.06% ( 0.21) | 21.93% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.79% ( 0.31) | 55.21% ( -0.31) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% ( 0.05) | 18.13% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% ( 0.09) | 49.08% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Solihull Moors |
2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.5% Total : 34.34% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 42.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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