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National League | Gameweek 24
Dec 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Meadowbank
Maidstone United

Dorking
3 - 2
Maidstone

McShane (6'), Taylor (90+2', 90+6')
Gallagher (24'), Seager (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Barham (22'), Deacon (41')
Greenidge (62'), Lyons-Foster (90+3'), (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Maidstone United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-1 Dorking
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 2-3 Altrincham
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Maidstone United

With both sides struggling for form in recent weeks, a share of the spoils looks the likely outcome in an early-season relegation six-pointer at the Meadowbank Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawMaidstone United
49.85% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 21.95% (-0.032 -0.03) 28.2% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 65.25% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.67% (0.111 0.11)34.33% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.76% (0.126 0.13)56.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.81% (0.066999999999993 0.07)14.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.11% (0.136 0.14)41.89% (-0.14 -0.14)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.97% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)58.2% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 49.85%
    Maidstone United 28.2%
    Draw 21.95%
Dorking WanderersDrawMaidstone United
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.64% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.31% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.2%

How you voted: Dorking vs Maidstone

Dorking Wanderers
70.6%
Draw
29.4%
Maidstone United
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Maidstone
2-4
Dorking
Barham (34'), Pattison (51')
Ellul (35')
Corne (84')
McShane (18', 48'), Seager (83' pen., 90+3')
Moore (71'), Huk (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Maidstone
0-2
Dorking

Elokobi (79')
McShane (43'), Kealy (76')
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Dorking
2-2
Maidstone
Elokobi (41' og.), Prior (72')
Krasniqi (76'), Luque (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City24156348202851
2Forest Green RoversForest Green25149244212351
3Barnet25155551302150
4Gateshead25145649321747
5Oldham AthleticOldham23128341231844
6Solihull MoorsSolihull2512584536941
7Rochdale22123734201439
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9Yeovil TownYeovil26106103230236
10Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool259973130136
11AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
12Eastleigh2581163533235
13Sutton UnitedSutton259793433134
14Southend UnitedSouthend258982927233
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
16Tamworth2486102641-1530
17Woking2678112737-1029
18Aldershot TownAldershot25510103543-825
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2565142336-1323
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2565143149-1823
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2437142140-1916
24Ebbsfleet2617181962-4310


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