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National League | Gameweek 21
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank

Dorking
1 - 0
York City

McShane (21')
Moore (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanders (59'), John-Lewis (70'), Dyson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and York City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 2-3 Bromley
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dorking Wanderers 1-1 York City

This fixture brings two teams together with a distinct lack of confidence, and given their league positioning it is one that could change their seasons. However, considering the lack of victories that either have been able to secure lately it would not be a shock to see them share the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawYork City
35.79% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07) 23.14% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 41.07% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Both teams to score 64.58% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.25% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)36.74% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.09% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)58.91% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)20.85% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)53.53% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.0040000000000049 0)18.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.56% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 35.79%
    York City 41.07%
    Draw 23.13%
Dorking WanderersDrawYork City
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.81% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 41.07%

How you voted: Dorking vs York City

Dorking Wanderers
20.0%
Draw
60.0%
York City
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet32207563313267
2York City30196559263363
3Forest Green RoversForest Green311711350252562
4Oldham AthleticOldham311511549321756
5Gateshead30157855371852
6Halifax TownHalifax3114983830851
7AltrinchamAltrincham301310750351549
8Rochdale27135939231644
9Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool32101483838044
10Southend UnitedSouthend311110103733443
11Solihull MoorsSolihull31126134745242
12Sutton UnitedSutton30119104038242
13Eastleigh30101194038241
14Yeovil TownYeovil31109123538-339
15Tamworth31109123649-1339
16Woking31811123244-1235
17Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red31810134444034
18Braintree TownBraintree3197153142-1134
19Aldershot TownAldershot29612114250-830
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead3086163657-2130
21WealdstoneWealdstone30611133447-1329
22Fylde3085173660-2429
23Boston UnitedBoston2848162445-2120
24Ebbsfleet32110212169-4813


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