Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
42.17% ( 0.1) | 22.42% ( -0.12) | 35.41% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 67.3% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.83% ( 0.61) | 33.17% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.08% ( 0.69) | 54.92% ( -0.69) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% ( 0.29) | 16.48% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.8% ( 0.51) | 46.2% ( -0.52) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.58% ( 0.28) | 19.41% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.76% ( 0.46) | 51.24% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.59% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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