Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.