Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 13.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Southend United in this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Eastleigh |
68.09% ( 0.06) | 18.67% ( -0.03) | 13.24% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.12% ( 0.04) | 40.88% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.73% ( 0.05) | 63.27% ( -0.05) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89% ( 0.03) | 11% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.71% ( 0.06) | 35.29% ( -0.06) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.59% ( -0.02) | 42.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.21% ( -0.02) | 78.79% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Eastleigh |
2-0 @ 11.36% 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 68.08% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.67% | 0-1 @ 4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 13.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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